Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

58%
Stable · last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature for Madrid for the local calendar day (midnight-to-midnight local time) on 23 August 2026 is greater than or equal to 32.0 °C, otherwise NO. The single numeric daily maximum value as published will be used, preferably according to Open-Meteo for Madrid. If Open-Meteo is unavailable, the daily maximum published by a national or major meteorological service may be used. Use the published numeric value exactly without rounding.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 15 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNot likely to hit 32°C; the forecast max is only 31.7°C. With just a few days to go, I'm not optimistic about a sudden spike in temperatures.

58%
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37%
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50%
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45%
Stable · last 24h
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