Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official final score for the Fenerbahçe vs Olympique Lyonnais Champions League play‑off first‑leg match on August 18, 2026 shows Olympique Lyonnais with more goals than Fenerbahçe. NO otherwise. Resolution will use the official match report published by the competition organiser (UEFA) and can be verified via the clubs' official pages and major sports news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 86 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the stakes and Lyon's recent form, they're likely to edge this one out. Fenerbahçe's defense has been shaky lately, making it tough for them to hold off a determined Lyon side.

94%
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50%
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50%
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67%
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28%
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75%
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