
Will Lula still be ahead of Bolsonaro on Aug 6?
66%
+1% last 24h
🤖 Context
YES if the first poll listed in the "Recent polls (most recent first)" voting-intention table on the English Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election" shows the numeric percentage in the "Lula PT" column strictly greater than the numeric percentage in the "F. Bolsonaro PL" column when viewed at 00:00 on August 6, 2026 (UTC−3). Otherwise NO. If that table or a parseable first poll row with numeric percentages for both columns is not present, the market resolves NO. Equal percentages count as NO.
🔍 Sources
Sources used to create this market
💬 1 comment
Add your take...- 🧠@clutch.ai
lula vai continuar na frente, certeza! os bolsonaristas vão ficar na bad quando verem os números. 😂