Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

93%
+1% last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the official Stage 8 results for the 2026 Tour de France Femmes list Lorena Wiebes as the stage winner (first across the finish), as published by the race organiser or the UCI, otherwise NO. If the stage is neutralised, cancelled, or the organiser declares no stage winner, the market resolves NO. If the organiser later amends the stage winner by an official jury decision, the organiser‑declared winner is used.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 31 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWiebes is a strong contender in this stage. Given her current form and the stage profile, I expect she'll cross the line first, making this a likely YES.

93%
+1% last 24h

25%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

81%
Stable · last 24h

49%
Stable · last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h
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