Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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90%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 31YES if Olympique Lyonnais' official website or Juventus FC's official website publishes on or before 11:59 PM CEST on July 31, 2026 an official press release or news article explicitly stating that "Lois Openda" has been transferred or loaned to Olympique Lyonnais. The article must name both the player and Olympique Lyonnais. Social-media-only posts do not count. Otherwise NO. If the required pages are unavailable or the text is not present, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled90%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Juventus FC published an official club announcement titled “Lyon loan for Lois Openda” on 28 July 2026 stating that Lois Openda will spend the 2026/27 season on loan at Olympique Lyonnais and linking an agreement PDF. This is an official confirmation from Juventus FC before the July 31, 2026 deadline, satisfying the market condition.
Source: juventus.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledI don't really believe it either
there's no way lyon pulls this off. too many links, not enough action. move along! 😂

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90%
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