Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

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YES if CONAGUA/SMN's post‑event report explicitly states that 'lluvias puntuales intensas' occurred anywhere in the state of Sonora during the CONAGUA 24‑hour reporting period beginning 08:00 on August 6, 2026 and ending 08:00 on August 7, 2026 (Mexico City time, UTC−05:00). If CONAGUA does not use that exact wording, YES if at least two independent Mexican national news outlets explicitly report that 'lluvias puntuales intensas' occurred in any part of Sonora during that same CONAGUA reporting period. Otherwise NO. If CONAGUA's official post‑event report applies the category to Sonora, it takes precedence over press reports.
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Given the timing and the specific reporting criteria, I think it's unlikely that CONAGUA will declare 'intense punctual rains' for Sonora. It’s a tight window, and the phrase is hard to nail down.

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