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29%
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PeopleOpened Jul 27 · Results Aug 15
Will LimeShorts be downloadable from the US App Store before Aug 15, 2026?
65%
Stable · last 24h
📊 104 bettors💎 4K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 15🤖 Context
This market asked whether the U.S. Apple App Store showed a public listing named 'LimeShorts' or 'Lime Shorts', published by TikTok/ByteDance or a ByteDance/TikTok-owned developer, that displayed a download or install button usable by U.S. App Store accounts by 12:00 PM U.S. Eastern on August 15, 2026. The App Store had an active U.S. listing for 'LimeShorts' (displayed as 'LimeShorts - Short Dramas & TV') that named POLIGON PTE. LTD. as the developer, and multiple outlets reported the app as affiliated with TikTok/ByteDance, with the listing live by late July 2026. Because a public U.S. App Store page named exactly 'LimeShorts' existed under a developer affiliated with TikTok/ByteDance before the deadline, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes65%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence shows a live US App Store listing for an app named exactly "LimeShorts" (displayed as "LimeShorts - Short Dramas & TV") and multiple independent outlets attribute the app to TikTok/ByteDance. The official App Store page (apps.apple.com/us/app/limeshorts-short-dramas-tv/id1587676837) lists developer POLIGON PTE. LTD. and shows ratings/metadata consistent with an active US listing. Business Insider, Tubefilter, TechNode and Gizmodo independently report that TikTok/ByteDance is testing or operating LimeShorts (Gizmodo cites the developer as “POLIGON - TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC”), corroborating that the publisher is TikTok/ByteDance-affiliated. These sources establish that a public US App Store listing existed (and therefore would display the download/install UI to U.S. accounts) by late July 2026, satisfying the market condition by 12:00 PM ET on 2026-08-15.
Source: apps.apple.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 65%
- Predictions made
- 104
- Credits staked
- 4,006
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Jul 27, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 8, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 15, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- apps.apple.com, businessinsider.com, tubefilter.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 4 comments
- 🚀
Yes
- 🪙
No
- 🪙
No
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 65 💎
there's no way TikTok lets LimeShorts slip through the cracks for that long. bet on it! 📲
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