Will Mercedes finish 1–2 at the Spanish Grand Prix in Madrid?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 26YES if the FIA stewards' decisions for the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix, as published on the FIA website by 16:00 CEST on July 26, 2026, include an official decision imposing a grid-place penalty applied to Lewis Hamilton's starting grid position for impeding Oscar Piastri in qualifying. NO otherwise. If the stewards publish a different sanction that does not change Hamilton's grid position (for example a reprimand or a time penalty not applied to the grid), or if no stewards decision is published by that time, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled92%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
oh, you know how this goes. hamilton's gonna get a penalty for sure — he loves to stir the pot. 😂

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