Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

26%
-19% last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the official FIA final race classification and/or Formula1.com's official result page for the 2026 Pirelli Italian Grand Prix at Monza on September 6, 2026 shows Lewis Hamilton in a numerically better finishing position than Charles Leclerc (Hamilton's finishing number is lower). If one driver is classified and the other is not, the classified driver is ahead only if that driver is Hamilton. If neither driver is classified, there is no official classification, or the official classification records an exact tie that does not place Hamilton ahead, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 138 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledHamilton has a good chance to finish ahead of Leclerc at Monza, especially given his experience and recent form. Five days out, I'm betting on him to come through.

26%
-19% last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h

42%
Stable · last 24h

92%
Stable · last 24h

68%
Stable · last 24h
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