Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the official Stage 2 finishing classification lists at least one of Léo Bisiaux, Bastien Tronchon, or Valentin Paret‑Peintre in positions 1 through 10 inclusive, otherwise NO. Resolution will use the official stage classification published by the race organisers (La Vuelta), corroborated by the UCI and major wire services. If a named rider abandons or does not start Stage 2 they cannot count toward YES, and if Stage 2 is cancelled or neutralised with no stage classification published the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 35 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a few hours left, I doubt any of them will make the top 10. The competition is fierce, and their chances are slim given recent performances.

94%
Stable · last 24h

87%
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59%
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39%
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29%
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66%
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