Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

57%
Stable · last 24h

83%
+4% last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 3This market resolves to yes if Kalshi finalizes its ticker KXATPMATCH-26SEP03MONTIE-TIE and records the final outcome as yes. Kalshi shows that ticker as finalized and its official finalized result for the match is yes. Because the rule required Kalshi to finalize that ticker with a yes, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled83%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi ticker KXATPMATCH-26SEP03MONTIE-TIE must be marked “finalized” and Kalshi's official finalized result for the complete binary condition “Learner Tien wins — Learner Tien” must be YES. Target: Kalshi's official finalized result for that ticker. Observed value(s) from supplied Kalshi data: Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: the observed status is finalized and the observed finalized result equals YES, which satisfies the market's YES condition. Therefore outcome = YES.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timelines, it's likely Kalshi will finalize this with a YES. Tien has shown strong performance recently, and the betting odds are leaning that way too.

57%
Stable · last 24h

89%
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60%
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49%
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43%
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29%
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