Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 26YES if Formula1.com’s official race classification for the 2026 AWS Hungarian Grand Prix (Hungaroring) lists Lando Norris as the first-place finisher (classified P1) for the race held on July 26, 2026. If Formula1.com publishes an amended official classification before the resolution time, the amended classification decides. If Formula1.com publishes no official race classification for this event by 17:00 on July 26, 2026 (UTC+02:00), the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled33%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Formula1.com's own race report for the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix, published on 2026-07-26 (timestamp shown as 14:54 UTC / Jul 26, 2026 2:54pm UTC), explicitly states that Lando Norris "claimed his and McLaren’s first Grand Prix victory ... taking the chequered flag ahead of Red Bull’s Max Verstappen and Mercedes’ Kimi Antonelli." That Formula1.com article was published prior to the 17:00 (UTC+02:00) deadline (15:00 UTC), so according to Formula1.com's official coverage as published by the deadline, Lando Norris is listed as the P1 finisher for the race held on 2026-07-26.
Source: formula1.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledno way, lando's got a chance, but we all know he’ll either finish third or end up in the gravel again. classic. 😂

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