Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Lando Norris is listed as the winner (classified P1) in the official result for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix Sprint Race held on August 22, 2026, otherwise NO. The outcome is determined according to the FIA's official Sprint Race classification or Formula1.com's official Sprint result. Other mainstream motorsport outlets such as Reuters, ESPN, or Autosport may be used as supporting evidence.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 27%, based on 28 predictions.
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76%
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45%
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21%
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26%
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