Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 20YES if the official race classification for the 2026 Moët & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix at Spa‑Francorchamps shows Lando Norris or Oscar Piastri classified 1st, 2nd, or 3rd according to Formula1.com by 18:00 on July 19, 2026, otherwise NO. If Formula1.com does not publish an official race classification for the event by that time, the market resolves NO. Not Classified, Disqualified, DNS, and DNF do not count as podiums.
How markets are built and settled48%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Formula1.com published the race report/results for the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix on 2026-07-19 showing the official classification: Kimi Antonelli P1, Charles Leclerc P2, Max Verstappen P3; Oscar Piastri is listed P5 and Lando Norris P7. The Formula1.com race article (dated 2026-07-19) provides the official race-result table and the Jolpica/Ergast API corroborates these finishing positions. Therefore the official Formula1.com classification did not show Norris or Piastri in positions 1–3 by 18:00 on 2026-07-19.
Source: formula1.comSources used to resolve this market
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