Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 20YES if the Official Starting Grid for the 2026 Moët & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix at Spa‑Francorchamps lists Lando Norris with a numerically larger starting grid position than Oscar Piastri according to Formula1.com by 6:00 PM on July 18, 2026. Otherwise NO. If Formula1.com does not publish an Official Starting Grid for the event by that time, or if either driver is listed as DNS, DSQ, DQ, or without a numeric grid position, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled49%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The Formula1.com article titled "OFFICIAL GRID: Who starts where at Spa..." (the Official Starting Grid) is dated Jul 19, 2026 12:05pm UTC — after the July 18, 2026 6:00 PM cutoff. Therefore Formula1.com had not published the Official Starting Grid by 6:00 PM on July 18, 2026; per the market rules that yields NO. (That later Formula1.com page does show Piastri P6 and Norris P13, but it was published after the deadline.)
Source: formula1.comSources used to resolve this market
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