Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official Sprint Race classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix Sprint Race held at Circuit Park Zandvoort on 22 August 2026 lists Lando Norris as classified in positions 1, 2, or 3 according to the FIA or Formula1.com. Otherwise NO. If post-session steward decisions change the official Sprint classification, the classification published by the FIA or Formula1.com on the resolution date will be used.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 15 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNorris has shown solid pace lately, but Zandvoort can be unpredictable. With just a day left and competition tight, I doubt he'll clinch a podium this time.

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