Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

26%
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70%
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YES if the official FIA or Formula1.com final race classification for the 2026 Pirelli Italian Grand Prix at Autodromo Nazionale Monza on 6 September 2026 lists Lando Norris as classified in finishing position 1, 2, or 3. Otherwise NO. Resolution will be based on the FIA's official final classification or Formula1.com's official result page, with corroboration from major sports outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 65 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven his recent form and the competitive field, Norris is likely to secure a podium finish. He's been strong in qualifying, so expect him to be in the top three.

26%
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50%
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55%
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35%
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92%
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69%
Stable · last 24h
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