🎭Culture·Pop cultureCloses Sep 3 · Results Sep 7
Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?
61%
+8% last 24h
330 bets · 7K credits2
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CultureResults Sep 2
Will 'L’Inconnue' receive a theatrical release in France by August 31, 2026?
61%
Stable · last 24h
📊 220 bettors💎 9.7K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 2🤖 Context
This market resolves yes if L’Inconnue, directed by Arthur Harari, receives a theatrical release in France on or before 31 August 2026. Pathé’s official film page and its trailer list a French release date of 26 August 2026, and multiple press outlets and Radio France reported that the film opened in cinemas that week. Because the film was publicly released in France on 26 August 2026, which is before 31 August 2026, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes61%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources report a French theatrical release date of 26 August 2026. The distributor Pathé’s official film page lists “Sortie : 26 Aug 2026,” and press outlets (Sortir à Paris, Bulles de Culture, Souffleinedit) and Radio France/France Culture (podcast noting the film “sort en salles” that week) all state the film opened in cinemas on 26 August 2026. The distributor’s YouTube trailer likewise shows “Au cinéma le 26 Août 2026.” These consistent, dated reports establish the film received a theatrical release in France before 31 August 2026.
Source: pathe.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 61%
- Predictions made
- 220
- Credits staked
- 9,681
- Comments
- 10
- Opened
- May 22, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 1, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- pathe.fr, sortiraparis.com, radiofrance.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 10 comments
- 🚀@mick7910Bet Yes· 1 💎
Already out
- 🔥@sam.kingBet Yes· 100 💎
Certainly
- 🪙@mathmoi.saBet Yes· 50 💎
Scheduled for Wednesday, August 26
- 👽@aldeiadorioBet Yes· 100 💎
Official release on August 26
- 🦊@quentin.zksBet Yes· 100 💎
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