Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 20YES if Kylian MbappĂ© wins the official adidas Golden Boot as the tournamentâs top scorer (FIFA tiebreakers apply: assists then minutes played). Resolves after the final.
How markets are built and settled71%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple reputable sources in the supplied evidence report that Kylian MbappĂ© finished the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the tournament's top scorer and won the Golden Boot. Contemporary reports (dated Jul 19â20, 2026) state MbappĂ© finished with 10 goals (vs. Lionel Messi's 8), and explicitly say he won the Golden Boot / Soulier d'or. Because he led outright on goals, FIFA tiebreakers were not needed. These post-final reports establish that MbappĂ© was awarded the (adidas) Golden Boot by FIFA.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
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