Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 20YES if Kylian Mbappé finishes as the tournament’s top scorer (including tiebreakers: assists then fewer minutes played). Resolves after the final.
How markets are built and settled78%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Contemporary reports after the tournament final show Kylian Mbappé finished as the World Cup top scorer and describe FIFA's tiebreaker order as assists then fewer minutes. BBC (19 July 2026) explicitly reports Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals, and Yahoo Sports (19 July 2026) reports Messi was held scoreless in the final so Mbappé finished with 10 goals to Messi's 8. Pre- and post-final coverage (Fox Sports, BBC) state the Golden Boot tiebreakers are most assists, then fewest minutes played. Based solely on the supplied sources, the answer is YES.
Source: bbc.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRejoins mon club sur Clutch : https://clutch.vip/i/PW2-VXY?s=VQP-5BU

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