Will Kupreanof reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey records Kupreanof's Volcano Alert Level as "WATCH" (heightened alert) or "WARNING" (top alert, eruption imminent) at any time after 00:00 on August 8, 2026 and no later than 00:00 on August 11, 2026. Otherwise NO. Resolution according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 11 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

44%

Predictions made

11

Credits staked

210

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 7, 2026

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution source

usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 44% and NO 56%, based on 11 predictions and 210 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Kupreanof reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Kupreanof reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.