Will Apple unveil a foldable iPhone on September 9?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 16The market rule says it resolves yes if, by 11:59 PM Pacific Time on August 15, 2026, Apple’s public online store checkout displays a selectable Klarna or “lease-to-own” payment option for at least one iPhone, iPad, or Mac, or if Klarna publicly announces such a lease-to-own program for those devices. Apple publicly launched the Klarna-backed Apple Upgrade leasing program on July 28, 2026, and Apple’s press release states the program is available on the Apple Store online and provided by Klarna, with 9to5Mac, TechCrunch and CNBC reporting the option is integrated into Apple’s checkout and a Klarna filing naming Klarna as the leasing provider. Because the program was publicly launched and shown in Apple’s online checkout on July 28, 2026, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Apple publicly launched the Klarna-backed "Apple Upgrade" leasing program on July 28, 2026 and multiple independent sources in the evidence pool confirm it was available via Apple’s online store checkout. Apple’s press release (Apple Newsroom, 2026-07-28) states Apple Upgrade “is available on the Apple Store online …” and that it is provided by Klarna. 9to5Mac’s 2026-07-28 report says Apple Upgrade is “integrated into the checkout flow on Apple’s website” and includes a checkout screenshot. TechCrunch and CNBC likewise report the July 28 launch and Klarna partnership. Klarna’s Form 6‑K (as posted in the supplied filing summary) states Klarna will act as the leasing provider and that Apple Upgrade is available through Apple channels. These items satisfy the market condition (A and/or B) on the dated launch, 2026-07-28.
Source: apple.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoh please, like apple's gonna let us lease their stuff. it's either cash or nada. 🙄

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