Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the FIA's official race classification for the 2026 Heineken Dutch Grand Prix (held on August 23, 2026) lists Kimi Antonelli as the classified winner (P1) after any post-race penalties or steward decisions. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 6 predictions.
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