Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Kimi Antonelli is listed as the pole sitter (first place) in the official FIA qualifying classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix qualifying session held on August 22, 2026 at Circuit Park Zandvoort. The market will use the FIA's official qualifying classification or Formula1.com's official qualifying results, with independent reporting such as Reuters, ESPN or Autosport acceptable as corroboration. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 24%, based on 31 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledAntonelli might be quick, but given the competition and the tight window, I doubt he’ll clinch pole. The pressure's on and others are likely to outpace him.

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