ScienceCloses Jul 28 · Results Jul 31
Will Kilauea reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher before July 31, 2026?
40%
Stable · last 24h
📊 42 bettors💎 844 at stakeNEW
Your stake
💎10
Potential payout
—
🤖 Context
YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program records the Kilauea alert level as 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent) at any time strictly after July 28, 2026 at 00:00 UTC and strictly before July 31, 2026 at 00:00 UTC, according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program. Otherwise NO.
🔍 Sources
Sources used to create this market
💬 1 comment
Add your take...- 🐼@mariana.mvpBet Yes· 10 💎
"I voted yes. I think Genevieve will reach Category 4."