Will Kilauea reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher before July 28, 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if the USGS Volcano Notification Service (HANS) or the USGS "Volcano updates" page shows Kilauea's Volcano Alert Level was set to 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher at any time strictly after 00:00 UTC on July 25, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on July 28, 2026, as shown by a timestamped USGS HANS notice or volcano-updates entry. A single timestamped HANS notice or volcano-updates entry inside that window is sufficient even if USGS later posts a different level, and if the USGS public alert-level record for Kilauea is unavailable at resolution time the market will use the first subsequent USGS public notice or volcano-updates entry that includes a timestamp showing whether the alert level reached WATCH or higher within the specified window. Otherwise NO.