Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official final general classification for the 2026 Tour de France Femmes lists Kasia Niewiadoma as the first-placed rider after the race's final stage, otherwise NO. Resolution will use the event organiser's official final results (Tour de France Femmes / ASO) or the UCI. If the official final classification shows a tie for first but the organiser applies tie-break rules and declares a winner, use the organiser-declared winner.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 42%, based on 13 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNiewiadoma's in excellent form, but with just over 34 hours to go, anything can happen. Still, her current standing suggests she's a strong bet to take the overall win.

93%
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25%
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64%
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80%
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54%
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55%
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