Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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88%
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YES if the official Stage 1 startlist or the stage start/arrival records published by La Vuelta or the UCI show Josh Tarling as having started Stage 1 of the 2026 Vuelta a España on 22 August 2026. Otherwise NO if he is shown as DNS, withdrawn before the stage, or if the stage is not run. Official Netcompany Ineos team announcements confirming his start are also acceptable evidence.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 88%, based on 35 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven it's just a day before the stage, he should be confirmed on the start list soon. Everything points to yes, unless there's a last-minute withdrawal.

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64%
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95%
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54%
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