Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Jordan Spieth is listed on the official Round 3 starting list or has an official Round 3 score on the tournament leaderboard for the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship held Aug 13–16, 2026, according to the PGA Tour. Otherwise NO. If the tournament is shortened or canceled before a cut is applied and no Round 3 list exists, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 91%, based on 17 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledSpieth's gotta make it to Round 3 if today is the cut day, and with the tournament on, he should be on that starting list. Looks good for him.

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