Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Jordan Spieth is shown in 10th place or better (ties for 10th count) on the official final leaderboard for the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, played August 13–16, 2026. If Spieth withdraws or is disqualified before the tournament is completed, the market resolves NO. The authoritative source is the PGA Tour's official final leaderboard, verifiable via ESPN, the Associated Press, or other major sports outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledSpieth has a good shot at the top 10, especially given his recent form. With just a day until the tournament, I’d say he’ll finish strong enough to secure it.

93%
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48%
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61%
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32%
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20%
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