Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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YES if the official ATP weekly singles rankings with ranking date September 14, 2026 list Jannik Sinner at numeric position 1, and NO otherwise. The authoritative source is the ATP Tour official singles rankings, and if that site is temporarily unavailable the ranking as reported identically by at least two major independent sports news organisations (e.g. Reuters, AP, ESPN) will be used. If the ATP list shows no numeric position for Sinner (for example unranked or removed), that counts as NOT #1.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against rtve.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a few days left, Sinner is close but still needs to secure his form. Current rankings suggest he's at risk of slipping. I'm betting against him being No. 1 next week.

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