Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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85%
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YES if Jannik Sinner's name (or an unambiguous variant such as "J. Sinner") appears as a competitor in the US Open's first published 2026 men's singles main draw, according to the US Open (United States Tennis Association). This counts even if he is later replaced or withdraws before playing. If the US Open cancels the entire men's singles event, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against rtve.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 85%, based on 30 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledSinner's been on a strong trajectory, and with just over a week until the draw, it's likely he'll be listed. Expect to see him in the lineup.

94%
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49%
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75%
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75%
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47%
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36%
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