Will James Talarico be ahead of Ken Paxton in the most recent Texas Senate poll?

🤖 Context

YES if, in the most recent publicly released poll for the Texas U.S. Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton with a publication date on or before August 26, 2026, Talarico's reported support percentage is strictly greater than Paxton's, otherwise NO. "Most recent" means the single poll with the latest publication date/time on or before August 26, 2026, or if publication timestamps are unavailable the poll with the latest fieldwork end date, and if multiple polls share the same publication timestamp use the one with the later fieldwork end date or the pollster's published timestamp or VoteHub's ordering as needed. If the chosen poll does not report both named candidates, use the most recent poll on or before August 26, 2026 that does report both. Identical reported percentages to the precision shown resolve NO. Resolution will follow VoteHub's Texas Senate poll listing, corroborated by the original pollster's published release or mainstream news outlets that quote the poll.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against votehub.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

39%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

40

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 12, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 27, 2026

Resolution source

votehub.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 39% and NO 61%, based on 4 predictions and 40 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against votehub.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will James Talarico be ahead of Ken Paxton in the most recent Texas Senate poll?” real-money betting?

No. “Will James Talarico be ahead of Ken Paxton in the most recent Texas Senate poll?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.