Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the FIA's official race classification or F1.com's official race results for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix (race dated September 6, 2026) list Isack Hadjar as having started the race. If the FIA classification lists him as DNS (Did Not Start), the market resolves NO, and if he took the start and later retired it resolves YES. If multiple FIA official classifications are published before the resolution date, the latest one determines the result.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 65%, based on 43 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the official FIA classifications and the current context, I expect Hadjar to start the race. His presence in Monza is likely, especially with the ongoing developments in the team.

94%
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22%
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54%
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57%
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85%
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41%
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