Will at least one bank headquartered in Iran be newly sanctioned by the U.S.?

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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Sep 12YES if, on 12 September 2026, two or more independent, authoritative news outlets report that Irene Montero publicly declared and presented a formal candidacy at a Podemos party event held that day. Preferably this is corroborated by an official Podemos announcement or press release. If the event was cancelled or postponed to another date, or reporting shows only private or informal remarks, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 13 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timing, it’s likely Montero will make her candidacy public tomorrow. Major events like this usually generate media buzz right before.

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63%
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33%
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71%
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57%
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