🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 14 · Results Sep 16
Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?
70%
+1% last 24h
776 bets · 17.4K credits1
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PoliticsOpened Jul 21 · Results Jul 31
Will Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi visit Tehran between July 25 and July 31, 2026?
35%
Stable · last 24h
📊 179 bettors💎 4.2K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 31🤖 Context
YES if the official website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran publishes a timestamped press release or news item confirming that Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi arrived in Tehran and/or held official meetings with Iranian government officials on any date from July 25, 2026 through July 31, 2026 inclusive. Otherwise NO. If that same official website issues an explicit correction or retraction of that confirmation on its site before 12:00 noon Iran time (UTC+3:30) on August 1, 2026, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No35%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Al Jazeera and other outlets report that Prime Minister Ali al‑Zaidi arrived in Tehran and held official meetings (including with President Masoud Pezeshkian) on July 23, 2026. The supplied evidence then places him elsewhere during the target window: Al‑Monitor (published July 29) includes a caption showing al‑Zaidi at a Council of Ministers meeting in Baghdad on July 25, 2026, and ABC reports he was in Turkey on July 28, 2026. None of the supplied pages report an arrival in Tehran or official meetings with Iranian officials on any date from July 25–31, 2026. Based on these sources, he did not arrive in Tehran or hold official Iranian government meetings during July 25–31, 2026.
Source: aljazeera.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 35%
- Predictions made
- 179
- Credits staked
- 4,189
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 21, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 24, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 31, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- aljazeera.com, al-monitor.com, abcnews.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
no way he's making that trip. i mean, have you seen the state of things? sounds like a political fantasy to me. 😂
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