Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

91%
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50%
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YES if Apple issues a public, non‑beta production release of iOS 27 and makes that build available to the general public via the standard iOS Software Update (Settings → General → Software Update) no later than September 30, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM Pacific Time (UTC−07:00). Otherwise the market resolves NO. Resolve according to Apple (Apple Newsroom or Apple Support release notes) or contemporaneous reporting from major tech outlets that explicitly state Apple released the public non‑beta iOS 27 build.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Apple's track record, a public release of iOS 27 by the end of September seems highly likely. They tend to stick to their schedules, and we're just a few weeks away.

91%
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95%
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41%
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44%
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76%
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50%
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