Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

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YES if the National Hurricane Center issues a public tropical cyclone advisory no later than 20:00 on September 2, 2026 (EDT) that explicitly refers to the same disturbance labeled Invest 96L and classifies it as a Tropical Depression, Tropical Storm, or Hurricane. Otherwise NO. If the advisory clearly refers to a different system than the Invest 96L discussed in the source, this market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 81 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only about seven hours until the betting closes, the likelihood of the NHC issuing a relevant advisory seems slim. I doubt it will classify Invest 96L as anything significant.

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