Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Iga Swiatek is officially recorded as the winner of the quarterfinal singles match between Iga Swiatek and Diana Shnaider at the WTA 1000 tournament in Toronto, according to the tournament's official results page, the WTA's official match page, or major wire-service match reports. This includes wins by retirement, walkover, default, or forfeit. If the pairing is changed and no official result exists between Swiatek and Shnaider, or if the match is started but no official winner is later recorded (for example because the tournament is abandoned), the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 61 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIga Swiatek has a strong track record against opponents like Shnaider, and with the match just a day away, I'd bet on her winning this one comfortably.

94%
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60%
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76%
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60%
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42%
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17%
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