Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

93%
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86%
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YES if Iga Swiatek is listed as one of the two finalists in the women's singles draw for the Toronto Masters 1000 on the tournament's official results or on the WTA Tour official results, or if major wire services (for example Reuters, AP, ESPN) name her as a finalist. A walkover or a retirement during a match that results in Swiatek reaching the final counts as YES. If the tournament is cancelled before the semifinals are completed and finalists are not determined by the resolution date, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 15 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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93%
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32%
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48%
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40%
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52%
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30%
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