Will Indonesia record an earthquake of magnitude 5.6 or greater?

31%
Stable · last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the cyclone center of Tropical Cyclone Lowell is recorded as having crossed the coastline of any main Hawaiian island (Hawaiʻi/Big Island, Maui, Kahoʻolawe, Lānaʻi, Molokaʻi, Oʻahu, Kauaʻi, Niʻihau) no later than September 8, 2026, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) or the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC). Landfall means the agency or authoritative reports describe the storm's center as being on land. Onshore impacts like rain, surge, or winds without the center crossing the coastline do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just two days left and Lowell's trajectory looking strong, it's likely to make landfall on one of the Hawaiian Islands. Watch for official reports confirming this soon.

31%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

36%
+2% last 24h

59%
+1% last 24h
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