Will Indonesia record an earthquake of magnitude 5.6 or greater?

31%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h
Resolves YES if the official National Hurricane Center advisory stamped 06:00 UTC on September 7, 2026 lists Lowell's maximum 1-minute sustained winds at 111 mph (178 km/h) or greater, or explicitly describes Lowell as Category 3 or higher. If the NHC issues no advisory exactly at 06:00 UTC, use the closest official NHC advisory within 03:00–09:00 UTC on September 7, 2026 and apply that advisory's wind value/classification. The advisory used must be for the system named "Lowell". Otherwise it resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith the current track and intensity trends, Lowell is likely to reach Category 3 before the advisory. Watch for rapid strengthening overnight, it's a solid bet it'll hit that mark.

31%
Stable · last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

36%
+2% last 24h

59%
+1% last 24h
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