Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

68%
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50%
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YES if, no later than October 7, 2026, the Préfecture de la Moselle issues and publishes a binding administrative order (for example an arrêté préfectoral or arrêté de suspension) that explicitly requires suspension or reversal of the municipal decision cancelling Hayange's school shuttle services. NO otherwise. Non-binding actions such as an acknowledgement of receipt or the opening of an inquiry do not count. Acceptable evidence includes an official prefecture press release or arrêté from the Préfecture de la Moselle, or mainstream media reporting confirming such a binding order.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and the need for a binding decision by October 7, it’s unlikely we’ll see anything definitive by then. The absence of a prior announcement suggests NO chance here.

68%
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50%
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48%
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30%
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61%
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49%
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