Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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84%
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YES if credible public reporting shows that no later than August 19, 2026 Harry Kane was physically presented with the European Golden Shoe trophy. Credible evidence includes an announcement from European Sports Media (ESM), an official club statement with photo or video, or reporting by a major news agency or reputable outlet. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 145 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIn any case, it's already planned.
There’s not enough time left for formal recognition. If there's no official announcement or ceremony by next week, this won’t happen.

94%
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34%
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44%
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58%
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82%
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77%
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