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SportsOpened Sep 18 · Results Sep 19
Will Hamburger SV announce that Merlin Polzin has signed a new contract or extended his contract?
49%
Stable · last 24h
📊 137 bettors💎 2.6K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 19🤖 Context
The market required that, by 15:30 CEST on 19 September 2026, Hamburger SV publish an explicit club press release or the DFL/Bundesliga record or announce a registration stating Merlin Polzin has signed a new contract or had his contract extended, with major outlets like Kicker, Reuters or AP acceptable as corroboration. On 18 September 2026 multiple independent outlets reported an official Hamburger SV announcement that Polzin had signed a new long‑term contract or that his deal had been extended, including Xinhua (datelined Berlin, 18 Sept.), Bulinews, OneFootball and GetFootballNewsGermany. Because those explicit announcements appeared on 18 September, before the 15:30 CEST deadline on 19 September 2026, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes49%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent news reports in the supplied evidence explicitly state that Hamburger SV announced a contract extension / new long-term contract for head coach Merlin Polzin. Xinhua (via China.org.cn) is datelined ‘BERLIN, Sept. 18’ and says Polzin "signed a new long-term contract." Bulinews (published 18 Sep) and OneFootball (18 Sep) carry an "official" club announcement that Polzin has extended his contract, and GetFootballNewsGermany also reports the official extension. These independent, corroborating reports establish that Polzin had signed/extended his contract by 2026-09-18 (and therefore by 15:30 CEST on 2026-09-19).
Source: china.org.cnKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 49%
- Predictions made
- 137
- Credits staked
- 2,584
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 18, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 19, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- china.org.cn, bulinews.com, onefootball.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
With just over a day left, it seems unlikely Hamburger SV will announce anything definitive about Polzin. They need a clear commitment, and time is running out.
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