Will hail from thunderstorms cause structural damage in Île-de-France?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than August 29, 2026, at least one article or wire in a major French national outlet explicitly reports that hail from thunderstorms between 12:00 on August 28, 2026 and 23:59 on August 29, 2026 caused structural damage to at least one house, building, or vehicle in Île-de-France. Preferred sources are TF1info or AFP, but other major national outlets such as Franceinfo, Le Monde, Le Figaro, or Reuters are acceptable. Purely social-media claims, reports limited to minor non-structural inconvenience, or reports about overseas territories do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 47%, based on 260 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

47%

Predictions made

260

Credits staked

10,142

Comments

2

Opened

Aug 28, 2026

Closes

Aug 28, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 30, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 47% and NO 53%, based on 260 predictions and 10.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will hail from thunderstorms cause structural damage in Île-de-France?” real-money betting?

No. “Will hail from thunderstorms cause structural damage in Île-de-France?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.