Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

92%
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27%
Stable · last 24h
YES if a credible, publicly accessible source reports that hail (Spanish: "granizo" or "pedrisco") was observed falling anywhere in Navarra at any time on August 6, 2026 (local date). Credible sources include AEMET, the Gobierno de Navarra, Policía Foral de Navarra, or major Spanish news outlets such as EFE, RTVE, El País, or La Vanguardia. Unverified social‑media posts without corroboration by an official agency or established news outlet do not count, otherwise NO.
Sources used to create this market
Given that it's already August 6th and sources like AEMET or major Spanish outlets haven't reported hail yet, I doubt we'll see any credible reports by the end of the day.

92%
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44%
Stable · last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h

53%
+2% last 24h
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