Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

65%
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54%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Awaiting resultYES if at least one publicly accessible official bulletin or a credible national or regional news report (for example AEMET or EFE) explicitly confirms that hail was observed anywhere in western Galicia on the local date August 26, 2026 (CEST). Forecasts or warnings of possible hail do not count. Photographs or social-media posts count only if corroborated by a credible news outlet or an official body.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 5 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's unlikely there will be confirmed reports of hail in western Galicia today. Just forecasts and warnings won’t cut it; I'd bet against it.

65%
-1% last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

28%
-4% last 24h

53%
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75%
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