Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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67%
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Resolved: No
Results Jul 26This market will resolve to 'YES' if Groupama-FDJ United wins at least one stage during the 2026 Tour de France, which runs from July 4 to July 26, 2026. It will resolve to 'NO' if they do not win any stages during the Tour.
How markets are built and settled67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Authoritative stage-winner lists and race reports for the 2026 Tour de France (4–26 July 2026) enumerate all 21 stage winners and none are riders from Groupama‑FDJ United. The official Tour site’s stage-winners page and the ProCyclingStats race results page list winners (examples in the coverage include Tadej Pogačar, Mathieu van der Poel, Jasper Philipsen, Olav Kooij, Tim Merlier, Remco Evenepoel, Mauro Schmid, Isaac Del Toro, Søren Wærenskjold, etc.) with no Groupama‑FDJ victor. Race reports (BBC, Olympics.com, FloBikes) similarly summarize the stages and do not record any stage victory by a Groupama‑FDJ United rider (FloBikes shows a Groupama rider finishing 6th on stage 17, not winning). Taken together, the supplied official/results sources provide positive evidence that Groupama‑FDJ United did not win any stage in the 2026 Tour de France.
Source: letour.frSources used to resolve this market
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