Will Great Sitkin be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) records Great Sitkin's Volcano Alert Level as 'WARNING' at any time strictly after 00:00 on August 14, 2026 and no later than 00:00 on August 17, 2026. The resolution uses the exact alert label shown by the USGS, not descriptive text. Sources include USGS Volcano Hazards Program notices or mainstream news that explicitly cite the USGS-listed alert level.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 24 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

32%

Predictions made

24

Credits staked

455

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 13, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 17, 2026

Resolution source

volcanoes.usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 32% and NO 68%, based on 24 predictions and 455 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Great Sitkin be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Great Sitkin be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.